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Bad Forecasts

HelloFreefall

by LewDiscuss

Sponsoring every podcast in existence must not be what it used to be. Shares of meal kit delivery service HelloFresh have shed 42% of their value on a weak 2024 forecast and the retraction of its 2025 targets. Deutsche Bank calls the report “disappointing” while UBS bemoans that the guidance is “far worse” than anticipated.

This caps off a disastrous two-year period where the share price has fallen from 90 to 6.70 today.

Source: CNBC

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Talking Heads

The cover of Kara Swisher’s new book gives me secondhand embarrassment

by LewDiscuss

I’m judging a book by its cover, and wouldn’t be caught dead with the hardcover.

Burn Book by Kara Swisher

But the reviews are unsurprisingly glowing:

Kara Swisher takes on the “boy-kings” of big tech in “Burn Book” <Axios>

Kara Swisher once again punctures the puffed-up egos of Silicon Valley <Washington Post>

… except for the NY Times which calls it “underwhelming.”

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Internal memos · Layoffs

Vice Media pulls plug on employee town hall meeting after onslaught of “thumbs down” emojis

by LewDiscuss

The embattled “news organization” was holding a town hall where chief content officer Cory Haik was giving an update on a recent round of layoffs when the angry “thumbs down” emotes started flooding the stream from disgruntled employees.

That’s when CEO Bruce Dixon cut in–while Haik was still talking–to say “It’s impossible to ignore the emojis from our side. And I think we’re going to organize this in a way where we can actually give the information to people who want to receive it in the way it’s meant,” he continued. “Thank you for your time and your presence in terms of trying to explain that. I think let’s progress with our own town halls on this. Thank you for all the questions we have received, we’ll do our best to answer those in a forum that makes sense for this company.”

source: tiktok.com/@bobbymang666
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Debt · Mergers and Acquisitions

Mnuchin & Liberty Strategic Capital come to the rescue of NYCB

by LewDiscuss

The news on NYCB just keeps coming today, and it appears as if it’s fundraising round was successful. The cash-strapped bank has just issued a press release and it appears Steve Mnuchin and a consortium consisting of Liberty Strategic Capital, Hudson Bay Capital and Reverence Capital Partners has come to the rescue with a $1bil cash infusion.

Some terms of the deal include:

  • Reduction of the board size to 9-members (from 15 according to its website)
  • Addition of Mnuchin and Joseph Otting to the board
  • Otting will become CEO (replacing Alessandro DiNello who was installed last week)

Shares have rebounded and are now up ~5% on the day, which has to help offset some of Jenny Harrington’s losses on the stock.

NYCB Chart
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Talking Heads

CNBC Talking Head Jenny Harrington is holding the bag on NYCB losses

by Lew1 comment

Jenny Van Leeuwen Harrington, CEO of Gilman Hill Asset Management and frequent CNBC contributor, owns up to holding on to her NYCB stock, which is in free-fall today and down ~60% over the last week.

Here’s the video:

She calls the management team “arrogant” and excoriates regulators on allowing the merger with Signature Bank.

She claims that she’s reduced it to a small position, but as recently as January, she was calling it “oversold” on social media and acknowledging that her followers had jumped into the position on her recommendation:

Friends, a lot of you followed me into $NYCB - I'm still digesting thoughts following the call. It was the most counterproductive guidance that I've ever heard

But down -30%+ - I'm pretty certain there's just wayyy too much negative emotion and that it's oversold

Another Tweet the next day saw her sticking by the position and begging “plssss don’t let me regret that statement!”

Updated thoughts on $NYCB:

Now, I think that there's Regional Bank Panic 2.0 PSTD going on & I do not think it's founded.  (plssss don't let me regret that statement!)

For now, still holding.  Stk historically has traded @ or abv Tang BV - which is $10.60

Seems oversold
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Debt

NYCB stock tanks after WSJ report

by Lew1 comment

The WSJ is reporting that New York Community Bancorp (NYCB) is on a desperate quest for equity capital as it battles to regain investor confidence amidst a backdrop of escalating troubles. The once-reliable regional bank is now grappling with a mix of challenges, including real-estate loan losses, and a drastic 70% fall in its stock price since January.

The crisis at NYCB took center stage when it acknowledged problems in its commercial real-estate portfolio earlier this year, resulting in a fourth-quarter loss and a dividend cut. Matters worsened last week as the bank disclosed “material weaknesses” in its loan assessment and monitoring processes, prompting a series of credit downgrades and a new Executive Chairman, Thomas Cangemi.

The stock is down another 45% today.

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